Will Trump crush the Democrat blue wave at Americas mid-term elections?

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6357771/Will-Trump-crush-Democrat-blue-wave-Americas-mid-term-elections.html

Americans go to the polls today in crucial mid-term elections that will act as a referendum on Trump’s presidency so far and define the rest of his term.

Representatives are being elected to both houses of Congress, the House and the Senate, with voters expected to pass judgement on Trump’s first two years in office.

All 435 seats in the House are up for grabs, along with 35 out of 100 Senate seats and 36 governor’s jobs across the country.

Donald Trump faces a referendum on his first two years in office on Tuesday as Americans go to the polls in the mid-term elections (pictured speaking in Ohio on Monday)

Donald Trump faces a referendum on his first two years in office on Tuesday as Americans go to the polls in the mid-term elections (pictured speaking in Ohio on Monday)

Donald Trump faces a referendum on his first two years in office on Tuesday as Americans go to the polls in the mid-term elections (pictured speaking in Ohio on Monday)

All 435 seats are on the ballot in the House of Representatives, with most polls forecasting that Democrats will take control from the Republicans

All 435 seats are on the ballot in the House of Representatives, with most polls forecasting that Democrats will take control from the Republicans

All 435 seats are on the ballot in the House of Representatives, with most polls forecasting that Democrats will take control from the Republicans

In the Senate the Democrats are facing an uphill battle because just 35 of the 100 seats are up for election, and they hold the majority of those already

In the Senate the Democrats are facing an uphill battle because just 35 of the 100 seats are up for election, and they hold the majority of those already

In the Senate the Democrats are facing an uphill battle because just 35 of the 100 seats are up for election, and they hold the majority of those already

The Republicans are trying to hold majorities in both the House and Senate, while Democrats are trying to overturn those majorities in a so-called blue wave.

In the House, Dems need to make a net gain of 23 seats in order to take control, with most polls suggesting this is a reasonable outcome.

In the Senate, they need to take control of just two seats for a majority – but this is a harder task than it sounds.

The majority of seats being contested are already controlled by Democrats, and of the nine Republican seats in contention, four are held by solid majorities.

At stake is Trump’s political movement. A win for Republicans would quash his critics within the party and embolden his pro-business, anti-migrant America First agenda.

But gains for the Democrats could cripple the President, leaving him unable to pass legislation, nominate justices or members of his cabinet, and possibly lead to impeachment. 

President Trump has thrown his weight behind efforts to hold the Senate, engaging in a whirlwind series of rallies that has seen him on the stump for five days straight.

One closely-watched race is in Texas, where Republican Ted Cruz - who fought Trump for the presidency in 2016 - has been dragged into a close race with Beto O'Rourke

One closely-watched race is in Texas, where Republican Ted Cruz - who fought Trump for the presidency in 2016 - has been dragged into a close race with Beto O'Rourke

One closely-watched race is in Texas, where Republican Ted Cruz – who fought Trump for the presidency in 2016 – has been dragged into a close race with Beto O’Rourke

O'Rourke has emerged from relative obscurity to embody a Democrat party that hopes to galvanize the young and reach beyond its bases into America's heartlands

O'Rourke has emerged from relative obscurity to embody a Democrat party that hopes to galvanize the young and reach beyond its bases into America's heartlands

O’Rourke has emerged from relative obscurity to embody a Democrat party that hopes to galvanize the young and reach beyond its bases into America’s heartlands

In that time, he has spoken to crowds in Democrat battleground states of Ohio, West Virginia, Indiana, Montana, Florida and Missouri.

He has also addressed the faithful in Tennessee, where the GOP hopeful is locked in a close race, and in Georgia, where the governorship is in the balance.

Missouri will be one of the Senate races to watch as the results come in, with Democrat Claire McCaskill running against Republican Josh Hawley.

In September, polls had both candidates tied on 47 per cent. Since then, NBC reports McCaskill has opened up a small lead with just 3 per cent undecided.

However, the lead is within the margin of error for election polls, and it could swing either way on the day.

A win here for McCaskill would keep Democrat hopes of seizing both the House and Senate alive, but a loss would put that goal almost out of reach.

Tennessee is another bellwether state, which sees Republican Marsha Blackburn going head-to-head with Democrat Phil Bredesen.

Neither has held the seat before and will be vying to replace Bob Corker, a Republican who is retiring. 

Voting here will be a test of Trump’s appeal because of how closely Blackburn has allied herself to both the man and his policies.

The President’s personal approval rating is around 42 per cent nationally, which is low for an incumbent at this point in their first term.



In Florida a close contest for the governor’s seat is taking place between Andrew Gillum (left) and Ron DeSantis (right), who is a close ally of Trump

Meanwhile Bredesen represents Democrat hopes to expand their base beyond states where they traditionally do well and into the American heartlands where Trump won big in 2016.

A Democrat has not held statewide office in Tennessee for 12 years, but latest polls suggest their efforts are failing, with Blackburn leading Bredesen by eight points.

Texas is another state that has landed itself on the Democrat list of targets despite no member of their party holding a Senate seat there since 1994.

Ted Cruz, who fought a bitter contest with Trump during the 2016 election but has since allied to him, is the incumbent, with Beto O’Rourke the challenger.

O’Rourke has come to represent what many Democrats hope will be the new face of their party – a young, firey progressive who has captured the youth vote while raising extraordinary amounts of money through small donations.

While most polls have Cruz leading by six points, the seat was considered solid red until O’Rourke arrived and brought it into contention.

Two governor’s races have also captured the attention of the nation in what have become bitter contests with race a central theme.

Stacey Abrams is looking to become the first female African American governor in US history in Georgia, where she is taking on Brian Kemp

Stacey Abrams is looking to become the first female African American governor in US history in Georgia, where she is taking on Brian Kemp

Stacey Abrams is looking to become the first female African American governor in US history in Georgia, where she is taking on Brian Kemp

Kemp, another close ally of Trump, is locked in a neck-and-neck tie with Abrams amid allegations of racism and voter suppression

Kemp, another close ally of Trump, is locked in a neck-and-neck tie with Abrams amid allegations of racism and voter suppression

Kemp, another close ally of Trump, is locked in a neck-and-neck tie with Abrams amid allegations of racism and voter suppression

State governors act like presidents for the states they represent, and while they cannot affect Trump’s national agenda in the way that representatives and senators can, he will rely on their cooperation to implement his policies at a local level.

In Georgia, Republican Brian Kemp and Democrat Stacey Abrams are battling it out in a race which remains too close to call, and could drag on until next month.

With a third candidate – Ted Metz – in the running, if none of them garners more than 50 per cent of the vote, the two top-finishers will advance to a run-off in December.

Kemp is a staunch ally of Trump who has rallied for his man and declared Abrams to be ‘one of the most extreme far-left politicians in the entire country’.

Meanwhile Abrams has been endorsed by the likes of Oprah and Barack Obama and would become the first female African American governor in US history if elected.

During the campaign she has been targeted by racist robocalls mimicking Oprah’s voice and asking people to vote Kemp.

Meanwhile in Florida, Democrat Andrew Gillum is battling Republican Ron DeSantis, where racist robocalls have also been a feature of the campaign.

Gillum, who polls suggest is leading by up to seven points, has painted his opponent as pandering to racists and the far-right in order to win votes.

Meanwhile DeSantis has borrowed from Trump’s playbook by focusing on migration and jobs, while also trying to paint Gillum as corrupt. 

Nationwide picture: Generic voting preferences show an uncertain national picture

Nationwide picture: Generic voting preferences show an uncertain national picture

Nationwide picture: Generic voting preferences show an uncertain national picture


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